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Poll shows Stanton in the lead for mayor

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Posted: Friday, October 14, 2011 12:45 am

A recent poll by a Washington D.C.-based firm shows Greg Stanton in the lead in the race for Phoenix mayor by 21 percentage points over Wes Gullett.

Switchboard Communications conducted a telephone poll Oct. 4-5. A sample of 1,067 voters were asked, "If the election for mayor were held today, who would you vote for: Wes Gullett or Greg Stanton?"

In the poll, Stanton leads Gullett 46 percent to 27 percent. Twenty-eight percent were still undecided.

"Mr. Stanton's support is strong in every age range, and with both female and male respondents," Switchboard Communications said in a statement. "Mr. Stanton's support is consistent across the city, leading seven out of the eight City Council districts."

The poll was commissioned by Switchboard.

"Switchboard commissioned this automated poll as our company recently released a new web-based tool, called TOPLINE, which allows people and organizations to set up and launch automated polls on their schedule," said Stephen Hill, spokeman for Switchboard. "We wanted to place a poll into the field to analyze the results and selected the upcoming Phoenix mayoral election to collect data from likely voters."

The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.

A poll conducted by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates in September for the Stanton for Mayor campaign showed similar results. The survey of 402 likely voters, said voters preferred Stanton over Gullett 50 percent to 30 percent. That survey asked voters about their perception of the candidates.

"Taken together, the results show that Greg Stanton has emerged from the primary election as the clear leader in the race for mayor, with both strong overall support and backing from most major subgroups of the Phoenix electorate," a memo from Fairbank, Maslin, Metz & Associates said. "Of course, it remains early in the run-off campaign, and perceptions are likely to shift as both campaigns - as well as some of the anonymously-funded independent expenditure efforts active in the primary campaign - begin their communications with voters. The results of this survey suggest that if Stanton runs a strong campaign, even in the face of such opposition, he is well-positioned to win election as Phoenix's next mayor in November."

The run-off election will is on Nov. 8.

• Contact writer: (480) 898-7914 or ahurtado@ahwatukee.com

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